Nashville Challenge RYC/RJCC

Y-14 Men's Saber

Saturday, February 21, 2026 at 11:30 AM

MTSU Campus Recreation - Murfreesboro, TN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 KAUL Ishaan 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
2 EDWARDS Farren 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 45%
3 PIPKE Garrett 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
3 POLSANI Gaurav 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 11%
5 LENDVAI Lorand 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2%
6 KOHLER Vaughn 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 16%
7 SCHWARTZMAN Jakub 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 11%
8 BERGAN Chase 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 2%
9 RIMMELE Sven Yan 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1%
10 BARRIONUEVO Nicolas 100% 95% 73% 37% 11% 1%
11 NORTON Hudson 100% 93% 67% 31% 7% 1%
12 LAN Jasper 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13%
13 URQUILLA Devin 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 3%
14 ALLEN Paxton 100% 93% 66% 30% 8% 1%
15 CHANDRA Ayan 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 5%
16 GONG Johnny 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% -
17 UCHIYAMA Lucas 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% -
18 HALL Henry 100% 99% 91% 64% 28% 5%
19 ALLEN Parker 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% -
20 KELLY Collin 100% 97% 79% 44% 13% 2%
21 BAIER Leon 100% 87% 53% 19% 3% -
22 SHEK-WEI Wesley 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1%
23 SILVA Clemente 100% 86% 53% 20% 4% -
24 RAHMAN Noah 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.