Utah/Southern Idaho and Friends Epee League February

Div II Mixed Épée

Saturday, February 21, 2026 at 12:00 PM

Valkyrie Fencing Club - Salt Lake City, UT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 WALLAK Jesse 100% 100% 100% 100% 89% 36%
2 LITTLE Alex 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
3 SUCHOSKI Annika 100% 100% 100% 98% 80% 28%
3 MAURIN Michael 100% 100% 100% 96% 66%
5 MORGAN William 100% 97% 76% 33% 7% -
6 MICHAELIS Stephanina 100% 100% 99% 93% 64% 21%
7 HEINZ Thurston 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1%
8 VALENTINE Shem 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 8%
9 RALSTON Katy 100% 98% 79% 37% 8% 1%
10 GARRISON Shawn 100% 84% 47% 14% 2% -
11 DAVIDSON James 100% 92% 52% 11% -
12 LLOYD Melanie 100% 98% 71% 24% 1%
13 BENNETT Leif 100% 99% 89% 50% 9%
14 HILL Aurora 100% 57% 7% - - -
15 SMITH Jared A 100% 100% 99% 86% 28% 3%
16 SHARMA Keerat 100% 96% 79% 44% 14% 2%
17 DOERR Jeff 100% 100% 98% 54% 8% -
18 HILL Amelia 100% 57% 16% 2% - -
19 DOERR Alea 100% 36% 5% - -
20 MOSES Owen 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 2%
22 BUITRON Dayna 100% 99% 93% 67% 29% 5%
23 ROBSON Eira 100% 100% 94% 69% 26% 1%
24 BRIDGEWATER Beckman 100% 54% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.