Queen City Cup Y8/RYC/RJCC

Y-14 Men's Foil

Saturday, February 21, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Liberty Center - Liberty Township, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Birth Year

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	FANG Haoyu	-	-	-	4%	31%	65%
2	OZAWA Taishi	-	-	-	-	1%	12%	88%
3	PAN Howard Haoran	-	-	1%	13%	50%	36%
3	WANG Freyr	-	-	3%	21%	49%	27%
5	XU Rambert	-	3%	16%	36%	34%	11%
6	KAGAN Noah	-	-	1%	13%	42%	43%
7	LATORRE Leonardo	-	-	-	5%	32%	62%
8	ZHENG Lerui	-	-	1%	12%	48%	39%
9	WEBSTER Liam	-	-	1%	12%	45%	41%
10	MCCOOL Henry	-	-	4%	19%	42%	34%	2%
11	MCMILLIAN Harrison	-	-	2%	24%	57%	16%
12	MCERLEAN Liam	-	3%	17%	40%	33%	7%
13	JIAO Daniel	-	3%	18%	43%	31%	5%
14	POST Bentley	-	7%	27%	39%	23%	4%	-
15	WANG kevin	-	4%	24%	51%	20%	2%
16	LIU Bradley	-	2%	14%	35%	36%	12%	-
17	MCGRATH Milo	-	4%	17%	36%	33%	11%
18	ZHANG Hanson	-	2%	13%	38%	37%	10%
19	MEI Edan	9%	35%	41%	13%	1%	-
20	MORALES Tycho	-	2%	11%	31%	39%	17%
21	DURAI Dheeraj	25%	46%	25%	4%	-	-
22	WENGER Rowan	-	2%	15%	41%	36%	6%
23	MORGAN Jacob	6%	28%	41%	21%	4%	-
24	MATIYASH Andrew	41%	43%	14%	2%	-	-
25	THEKKEL Jonathan	-	6%	29%	47%	15%	1%
26	LIM Cayden	7%	28%	38%	21%	5%	-
27	WANG Justin	15%	39%	33%	11%	2%	-
27	JAGANNATHAN Avi	8%	32%	40%	17%	3%	-
29	TAGORE Ayansh	2%	20%	39%	28%	8%	1%	-
30	POST Hudson	6%	31%	42%	18%	3%	-
31	HARDWICK Alex	14%	42%	34%	9%	1%	-
32	JAIN Kavya	27%	46%	23%	4%	-	-
33	TANG Ethan	20%	45%	29%	5%	-	-
34	MARVEL Elliot	22%	44%	27%	6%	-	-
35	KLINE Benjamin	23%	47%	26%	4%	-	-
35	SUSSMAN Gabriel	28%	46%	23%	3%	-	-
37	REES Vaughan	1%	7%	31%	44%	16%	2%
38	STAMPS Jasper	12%	39%	39%	9%	1%	-
39	SAKLESHPUR Shashwat	4%	26%	40%	23%	6%	-	-
40	LIN Abraham	23%	44%	26%	6%	-	-
41	NETESA Lukian	62%	32%	6%	-	-	-	-
42	ZHAI Noah	17%	38%	31%	12%	2%	-
43	LUND Jonah	31%	46%	21%	3%	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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