W&M Conomikes-Gutenberg Memorial Open 2026

Div III Mixed Foil

Sunday, February 22, 2026 at 1:00 PM

William & Mary Adair Gym - Williamsburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SKOLNICK Michael W. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29%
2 COPENHAVER Edward 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 27%
3 FAYVUSOVICH Emmanual 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 13%
3 SAE-TUNG Kevin 100% 100% 98% 82% 42% 6%
5 SIMANDJUNTAK Joshua 100% 100% 100% 99% 78% 28%
6 SINGH Meet 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 46% 11%
7 DEVINNEY Dale 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 19% 2%
8 SHEA Aleksander 100% 92% 57% 19% 3% -
9 POWERS Meredith R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 55%
10 FERGUSON Sam C. 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 34% 8%
11 NANAYAKKARA Dinuth 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 12%
12 TINGLE Byrd 100% 100% 99% 92% 62% 23% 3%
13 CONRAD Matthew 100% 99% 89% 57% 19% 2%
14 TERPENNING Sarah 100% 99% 91% 61% 24% 4% -
15 TOLENTINO SR. Francis 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 25% 4%
16 SIMANJUNTAK Jocelyn 100% 87% 54% 22% 5% 1% -
17 TRUDEAU Allison 100% 92% 52% 10% < 1% -
18 SOTO Alejandro 100% 99% 82% 42% 12% 2% -
19 ROUNTREE Andrew 100% 98% 81% 42% 10% -
20 BARTON Rhett 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 33% 6%
21 MILLER Ethan 100% 99% 83% 30% 5% - -
22 FLEITAS Owen 100% 99% 93% 65% 23% 3%
23 LARSON Winston 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 32%
24 BLUHM Kyle 100% 100% 93% 70% 32% 8% 1%
25 BLEVINS Carolyn 100% 93% 59% 18% 2% -
26 JOHNSTON Ashlyn 100% 59% 18% 3% - -
27 DEMPSEY Fiona 100% 39% 6% - - - -
28 HUTCHENS Spencer 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 14% 1%
29 JOHNSTON Kira 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% - -
30 BUMP Catalina 100% 81% 33% 6% 1% - -
31 CRISPIN Haley 100% 47% 9% 1% - -
32 GLASS Sam 100% 87% 28% 4% - - -
33 DUMONT Amelia 100% 79% 28% 5% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.