Nashville Challenge RYC/RJCC

Y-10 Men's Foil

Sunday, February 22, 2026 at 8:00 AM

MTSU Campus Recreation - Murfreesboro, TN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 NEMI Jai 100% 100% 96% 75% 30% 4%
2 LAUSI Maxime 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 29%
3 PATEL Niam 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
3 HOFFMAN Sacha 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
5 ONEILL Hayes 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2%
6 LEE Aiden 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 9%
7 STONER Lloyd 100% 90% 58% 21% 3% -
8 MANGO Morgan 100% 95% 74% 39% 11% 1%
9 WEIR Miles 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 2%
10 EDWARDS Arlo 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 24%
11 SEIFI Surena 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2%
12 LEE Jonah MookHern 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1%
13 RIEGER Julian 100% 83% 35% 6% - -
14 HWANG Ian 100% 100% 99% 88% 50% 12%
15 MILLER-FRANKEL Aiden 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1%
16 SAI ARAVIND Aayush 100% 96% 73% 29% 5% -
17 FRITH Callen 100% 96% 75% 37% 9% 1%
18 SCHWARTZ Jacob 100% 60% 18% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.