Nashville Challenge RYC/RJCC

Junior Women's Épée

Sunday, February 22, 2026 at 12:00 PM

MTSU Campus Recreation - Murfreesboro, TN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 JIANG Alexandra 100% 100% 95% 67% 15%
2 GOCHBERG Madeline 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 3%
3 TEITENBERG Elise 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
3 PETERS Joelle 100% 100% 100% 97% 65%
5 LIU Elinda 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 58%
6 KWON Claire 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 9%
7 NAPOLI Eleanor 100% 99% 89% 59% 23% 4% -
8 ACOSTA Mei 100% 98% 85% 53% 16% 1%
9 BERGAN Bailey 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 7%
10 NG Allie 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 18%
11 BRINDAVAN Vyahriti 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 4% -
12 YIN Ellen 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% -
13 CHANDA Samyuktha 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
14 SCHWARTZ Sophie 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
15 GULER Zeynep 100% 94% 71% 35% 10% 1%
16 DESAI Mallika 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 5%
17 JOSEPH JoAnn 100% 87% 45% 8% -
18 PORTER Cora 100% 91% 51% 11% 1%
19 KWON Allison 100% 89% 58% 23% 5% -
20 KOH Millicent 100% 92% 66% 30% 8% 1%
21 DREWRY Lexa 100% 90% 61% 26% 6% 1%
22 JOSHI Zara 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5% -
23 KANG Dah yeon 100% 55% 11% 1% -
24 ZHANG Elaine 100% 53% 13% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.