Queen City Cup Y8/RYC/RJCC

Y-14 Women's Foil

Sunday, February 22, 2026 at 1:00 PM

Liberty Center - Liberty Township, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	HU Sophie	-	-	-	-	3%	24%	73%
2	RIVERA Leahy	-	-	1%	10%	39%	51%
3	HUANG Natalie	-	-	-	-	4%	27%	68%
3	HOROWITZ Shuli	-	-	-	-	2%	23%	75%
5	DHALIWAL Seerat	-	-	2%	17%	47%	34%
6	BOIKE Lucille	-	-	-	4%	34%	62%
7	HUANG Emma	-	1%	8%	27%	40%	21%	2%
8	SUN Nicole	-	-	4%	25%	54%	17%
9	ZHANG Selina	-	-	3%	20%	48%	29%
10	LIN Athena	3%	18%	37%	32%	9%	1%
11	REDEMANN Reagan	2%	12%	32%	36%	16%	3%	-
12	EDGAR Koko	2%	14%	35%	34%	14%	2%	-
13	FAROOQI Eliora	-	6%	29%	45%	18%	2%
14	HUANG Rosalyn	1%	9%	26%	35%	23%	6%	-
15	LEE Eun-Hae	1%	11%	28%	34%	20%	5%	-
16	ARSOVSKI Maya	6%	31%	44%	17%	2%	-
17	LIU Sophia	-	2%	12%	32%	37%	16%	1%
17	GONZALEZ Lauren	1%	6%	24%	38%	25%	6%	-
19	BELL Blake	-	3%	13%	31%	35%	17%	2%
20	KOESTERS Cecilie	-	5%	27%	48%	18%	1%
21	HEWITT Madison	4%	22%	36%	27%	10%	2%	-
22	KOESTERS Florentine	-	1%	5%	22%	42%	28%	3%
23	KIM Yuna	-	1%	10%	32%	44%	13%
24	CHAVEZ Beatrix	19%	40%	30%	9%	1%	-
25	D'MELLO Ariella	2%	20%	45%	27%	5%	-
26	PARANJAPE Ojasvi	-	1%	7%	25%	40%	25%	3%
27	CULLIVAN Elise	1%	9%	26%	35%	22%	6%	-
28	WANG Ellen	6%	27%	39%	23%	5%	-
29	JIMÉNEZ PELAY Claudia	15%	38%	34%	12%	2%	-
30	KERR Ingrid	20%	42%	28%	8%	1%	-	-
31	KANASZ Peyton	19%	42%	29%	9%	1%	-	-
32	MILLER Sydney	31%	44%	20%	4%	-	-	-
33	YARLAGADDA Smaya	2%	16%	36%	32%	12%	1%	-
34	KUMAR Leela	20%	47%	28%	5%	-	-
35	KHATTAK Maho	11%	44%	35%	9%	1%	-
36	LIU Doris	38%	45%	15%	2%	-	-
37	HUANG Charise	63%	32%	5%	-	-	-
38	KAGAN Natalie	30%	41%	22%	6%	1%	-	-
39	YAN LYUWEN	22%	42%	27%	8%	1%	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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