Rain City Spring RJCC+RYC

Junior Men's Épée

Friday, February 27, 2026 at 1:00 PM

Rain City Fencing Center - Bellevue, WA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 DAN Rex 100% 100% 97% 80% 41% 7%
2 LI Timothy 100% 100% 98% 85% 45% 9%
3 TOYOFUKU Ethan 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
3 MATHES Caleb 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 35%
5 DONDISCH Ilan 100% 100% 100% 96% 72% 25%
6 WEGENER Soren 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 42%
7 TOYOFUKU Lucas 100% 96% 70% 30% 6% -
8 LEE Daniel 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 5%
9 BREILING Sebastian 100% 98% 82% 46% 14% 2%
10 BACON Corban 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 4%
11 LEWIS Michael 100% 99% 89% 55% 16% 2%
12 ESTABLECIDA Kyann R. 100% 100% 98% 86% 49% 10%
13 BREILING Nikki 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
14 RAMIREZ Tristan 100% 83% 41% 9% 1% -
15 WANG Juehan 100% 93% 61% 19% 2% -
16 RAMIREZ Hunter 100% 76% 30% 5% - -
17 NIMOH Vasil 100% 98% 80% 41% 10% 1%
18 MONTGOMERY Elliot 100% 99% 86% 52% 16% 2%
19 HARRISKING Benjamin 100% 98% 81% 42% 9% 1%
20 CHEN Christopher 100% 67% 21% 3% - -
21 MEHROTRA Dhruv 100% 87% 50% 16% 2% -
22 DESMOND-CIESLOWSKI Oscar Desmond 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% -
23 PATEL Krish 100% 64% 19% 2% - -
24 CHAN Joseph 100% 42% 8% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.