16th Annual Yellow Jacket Open

Senior Mixed Saber

Saturday, February 28, 2026 at 12:30 PM

Georgia Tech Campus Recreation Center: Atlanta, GA - Atlanta, GA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 XU Luke 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 40%
2 LIU Ethan 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 10% 1%
3 SHANKWILER Christopher 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 41%
3 ANDREEV Ilia 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 47% 8%
5 BURGESS Beckham 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 11%
6 ZHANG Aiden 100% 100% 98% 59% 14% 1% -
7 LIU Victor 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 23%
7 OH Hakjae 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
9 HARE John R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 79%
10 MARTIN Evangeline 100% 99% 91% 67% 34% 10% 1%
11 RINALDI Savio 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 40% 9%
12 FANG Eason 100% 100% 98% 85% 47% 9%
13 GONG Gavin 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 9%
14 YEN Preston 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 22%
15 HU Harry 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 17% 2%
16 LISSO Ria A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
17 JAYASANKAR Hari 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 21%
18 PADANILAM Thomas 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 12% -
19 EDWARDS Farren 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
20 MILLER Kevin "Chase" 100% 98% 82% 46% 14% 2% -
21 BRISENO Ethan 100% 98% 81% 45% 14% 2% -
22 YAO Zachary 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 11% -
23 COLLINS Andrew M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 32%
24 VU Mark 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1% -
25 SHIH Christina 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 22%
26 CERDA Giovanni 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
27 SHEN Jamie 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
28 GORDON Ezekiel 100% 87% 52% 17% 3% -
29 HU Heidi 100% 86% 35% 7% 1% - -
30 PADANILAM Lily 100% 100% 95% 70% 30% 6% -
31 GONZALEZ Jerry 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 3%
32 FREEMAN Rian 100% 86% 48% 14% 2% - -
33 STEWART Brian 100% 100% 94% 71% 32% 6%
34 FARAHMAND Shaya 100% 85% 46% 13% 2% -
35 DIAMOND Gavin 100% 100% 99% 75% 27% 4% -
36 JAYARAM Archita 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 2%
37 RIETZ Cairan 100% 99% 92% 61% 20% 3% -
38 BOUNDS Andrew 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10% -
39 VIHODET Irina 100% 68% 20% 3% - - -
40 GUIRGUES Alexander 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
41 SHAGHAGHI Sahand 100% 86% 49% 16% 3% - -
42 HU David 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 35% 7%
43 RODRIGUEZ Jason 100% 91% 62% 26% 5% - -
43 LIU Kyle 100% 92% 61% 23% 5% - -
45 EMMONS Ayden 100% 71% 29% 7% 1% - -
46 HADAWAY Maxwell 100% 100% 94% 70% 32% 7% 1%
47 MANSOR Isaac 100% 100% 97% 78% 33% 5% -
48 TAOUIL Sarrah 100% 70% 21% 2% - - -
49 O'DONNELL Molly 100% 89% 52% 14% 2% - -
50 SHAIKH Waqas 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 12% 2%
51 ALTMAN Robert L. 100% 98% 75% 36% 10% 1% -
52 CHEE Joshua 100% 100% 97% 80% 39% 7% -
53 KIARIGA Garang 100% 78% 35% 8% 1% - -
54 HERNANDEZ Luis 100% 72% 27% 5% - - -
55 FREEDMAN Alexander 100% 97% 80% 45% 15% 2% -
56 SACKMAN Bodhisattva 100% 83% 43% 10% 1% -
57 PAYNE Rashaad 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3% -
58 KERKERIAN Luke 100% 76% 36% 10% 2% - -
59 MCGINNESS Nolyn 100% 100% 93% 64% 26% 4% -
60 PELLETIER Skylar 100% 40% 6% - - - -
61 MOON Joseph 100% 31% 4% - - - -
61 MOCKLAR Zoe 100% 88% 53% 17% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.