Utah/Southern Idaho and Friends Saber + Foil League Feb

Senior Mixed Saber

Saturday, February 28, 2026 at 4:30 PM

Valkyrie Fencing Club - Salt Lake City, UT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 MEDINA Hender 100% 100% 99% 86% 40% 6%
2 ASHBY Ethan J. 100% 100% 97% 76% 29%
3 SEAL Julie T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 69% 21%
3 SEAL Maximus R. 100% 100% 99% 85% 14% -
5 SEAL Cameron I. 100% 99% 85% 36% 5%
6 BOMBER William 100% 100% 98% 81% 38% 4%
7 JEFFERY jakob 100% 98% 84% 50% 14%
8 MADSEN Jr Eric W. 100% 84% 45% 13% 1%
9 DELISLE Jonas P. 100% 90% 57% 18% 2%
10 BOYD Agnieszka 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 43%
11 SMITH Desmon 100% 96% 66% 11% -
12 KURTH Maya 100% 88% 42% 10% 1% -
13 MICHAELIS Stephanina 100% 99% 90% 60% 20% 2%
14 SUCHOSKI Annika 100% 79% 24% 2% - -
15 SEAL Ayda 100% 99% 90% 57% 15%
16 TONIOLLI Owen 100% 40% 5% - - -
18 MINOTT Nicolas D. 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 37%
19 KING Rachel 100% 78% 30% 5% -
20 JEFFCOAT Timothy 100% 93% 58% 14% 1% -
21 HILL Amelia 100% 66% 20% 2% - -
22 COSTANTINO Ike 100% 92% 63% 25% 4%
23 RASMUSSEN Dane 100% 95% 65% 23% 3%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.