CFC Foil D & Under

Div III Mixed Foil

Saturday, February 28, 2026 at 11:30 AM

Chesapeake Fencing Club - Towson, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 GODIN Willis 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 3%
2 SIELSKI Evan 100% 100% 96% 83% 56% 26% 7% 1%
3 STANSBURY Desmond 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 59% 26% 5%
3 MACK Ethan 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 46% 15% 2%
5 BLAM Aaron 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
6 BAYER John P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 41% 11%
7 DZIWULSKI Elisabeth Claire 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 38% 7%
8 WEBER Andrew 100% 100% 97% 83% 55% 25% 6% 1%
9 BELL Asher 100% 99% 86% 56% 24% 6% 1% -
10 RESENDE BONIFACIUK Lucas 100% 99% 88% 60% 26% 6% 1% -
11 DIFFIE Samuel 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% - -
12 MCCONNELL Julian 100% 99% 95% 80% 52% 23% 6% 1%
13 PAREKH Neil 100% 92% 64% 29% 8% 1% - -
14 SAGET Raphael 100% 99% 89% 62% 29% 8% 1% -
15 MEARS River 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% - - -
16 HU Michelle 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.