Rain City Spring RJCC+RYC

Y-14 Women's Foil

Saturday, February 28, 2026 at 3:00 PM

Rain City Fencing Center - Bellevue, WA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ESAKI Kei 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46%
2 JIANG Ziqing 100% 100% 95% 72% 28%
3 LIU Anya 100% 99% 91% 60% 18%
3 KIM Ellen 100% 99% 91% 61% 24% 5% -
5 WU Elynna 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
6 LIGERET Stella 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 43%
7 LI Ella 100% 100% 99% 88% 57% 20% 2%
8 SMIRNOV Victoria 100% 95% 71% 30% 5%
9 CHEN Bridgette 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28% 4%
10 WU Allison 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 12% 1%
10 HONG Elsie 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 19%
12 NAKAZATO Olivia 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 7%
13 KIM Olivia 100% 96% 76% 40% 10% 1%
14 CHAI Aria 100% 97% 78% 41% 10% 1%
15 SCHEFFLER Aria 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 32% 5%
16 PENG Yuewei 100% 84% 45% 12% 1% - -
17 YOUN Davina 100% 81% 38% 9% 1%
18 KLESERT Elizabeth 100% 73% 29% 5% -
19 ARRIBE Mila 100% 97% 80% 43% 11% 1% -
20 JIANG Katherine 100% 90% 55% 19% 3% -
21 JIANG Ziqi 100% 89% 55% 19% 3% - -
21 ESPERUM Ari 100% 87% 52% 17% 2% - -
23 JONES Rowan 100% 76% 28% 5% - - -
25 FANG Sophie 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% -
26 MERRIMAN Evalyn 100% 61% 17% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.