Rain City Spring RJCC+RYC

Junior Men's Saber

Saturday, February 28, 2026 at 4:00 PM

Rain City Fencing Center - Bellevue, WA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FERRIS JR. Michael 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 21%
2 DOLEV Ido 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 26%
3 MACARIO Benjamin 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 43% 11%
3 STAMPER Wyatt 100% 94% 67% 31% 8% 1% < 1%
5 GUVEN Derin 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
6 HOLMES Xavier 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 10% 1%
7 MILLER Charlie 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 41% 10%
8 JOHNSON Jack 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
9 MITCHELL-LU Hiro 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7%
10 MOULTON Andrew 100% 100% 94% 75% 41% 12% 1%
11 VACCA Giovanni 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 14%
12 SULLIVAN Gerard 100% 98% 83% 50% 18% 3% -
13 COPPA Neal 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% 1%
14 RASHELL Simon 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 3%
15 CALL Henderson 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
16 LIEBISCH Milo 100% 97% 77% 41% 12% 2% -
17 XIA Daniel 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 3% -
18 LAMADRID Zachary 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -
19 HO Ethan 100% 72% 31% 7% 1% - -
20 WILCOX Kellen 100% 56% 15% 2% - - -
21 HARFORD Benjamin 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.