Long Island Challenge ROC & RPC

Div II Women's Foil

Saturday, February 28, 2026 at 1:30 PM

Mission Fencing Center - Rocky Point, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CZARNECKA Hanna 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 34%
2 OLAWOYE Jadesola 100% 100% 97% 74% 26%
3 FELLMAN Sara 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 15%
3 LIU Yinuo 100% 100% 98% 81% 34%
6 STEWART Isla 100% 97% 81% 42% 9% 1%
7 MAIA ZUCKERMAN Julia 100% 98% 87% 57% 20% 2%
8 BO Iris 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 33% 6%
9 HUNT Abigail S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
10 ALBRECHT-SMITH Anne 100% 89% 54% 18% 3% - -
11 KIM Claire 100% 96% 54% 13% 1%
12 GOMEZ Sofia 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% -
13 BAULIN Zoya 100% 99% 76% 29% 4%
14 KANG Annabella 100% 90% 57% 20% 3% - -
15 RAFFAELE Nancy 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 3% -
17 SONG Sarah 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% -
18 LENZ Phoebe 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% - -
19 STUART Skylar 100% 17% 1% - -
20 VILLAREAL Kerianne 100% 99% 86% 47% 11% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.