Fence St. Louis Spring(ish) Saber

Senior Women's Saber

Sunday, March 1, 2026 at 9:00 AM

Fence St. Louis - St. Louis, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 PETTIT Sara M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 81% 26%
2 KATZE Ashley 100% 100% 100% 97% 75% 16%
3 DEATON Lily 100% 100% 99% 86% 50% 13%
3 FINN Lucy 100% 100% 96% 74% 29% 2%
5 SOBERY Lillian 100% 98% 78% 32% 5% -
6 ZIMMERMAN Karmen 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 47%
7 HASTY Avery 100% 91% 55% 18% 3% -
8 BROCKMEYER Kendy 100% 99% 93% 67% 26% 2% -
9 FAGAN Cara 100% 98% 86% 54% 17% 2% -
10 MORGAN Ireland B. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 57% 11%
11 HATFIELD-LADD Astrid 100% 91% 60% 23% 5% - -
12 SOETAERT Sophia 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 22%
12 DUGAL Dory 100% 98% 80% 38% 8% -
14 CANNON Lillian 100% 67% 23% 4% - -
15 MANDA Yathi 100% 72% 25% 4% - -
16 SCHOEMEHL Evelyn 100% 67% 20% 3% - -
17 COUNTS Taryn 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% - -
18 HEISSINGER Lucille 100% 99% 90% 58% 17% 1%
19 AMIRI Rosemarie 100% 100% 92% 67% 30% 7% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.