Rain City Spring RJCC+RYC

Y-14 Men's Saber

Sunday, March 1, 2026 at 12:00 PM

Rain City Fencing Center - Bellevue, WA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HOLMES Xavier 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 39% 9%
2 GUVEN Derin 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 17%
3 LIEBISCH Milo 100% 99% 94% 75% 45% 16% 3%
3 LAMADRID Zachary 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1%
5 WU Lucas 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
6 SIT Jayden Ka-Hin 100% 100% 98% 90% 68% 35% 8%
7 LIU Nico 100% 100% 97% 81% 42% 9%
8 WOLLOW Bennett 100% 98% 88% 63% 31% 9% 1%
9 MITCHELL-LU Hiro 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
9 GU Dean 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 9%
11 LAI Mars 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 40% 9%
12 STAMPER Wyatt 100% 100% 94% 73% 37% 8%
13 YANG Aegon 100% 99% 92% 73% 41% 14% 2%
14 ZHEN Felix 100% 89% 55% 18% 3% -
15 XIA Daniel 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 7% 1%
16 PERNICK Rhen 100% 98% 82% 49% 16% 2%
17 WILCOX Kellen 100% 82% 42% 11% 1% -
18 JOHNSON Jack 100% 98% 88% 63% 31% 9% 1%
20 HARFORD Benjamin 100% 99% 87% 57% 22% 4%
21 MODJESKI Lincoln 100% 78% 35% 9% 1% - -
22 KIM ZOLLER Jacob 100% 80% 39% 11% 2% - -
23 JANG Seohyeon 100% 98% 86% 54% 21% 4% -
24 MOODY-FUENTES Nelson 100% 93% 69% 36% 12% 2% -
25 LUO Winston 100% 97% 81% 51% 21% 5% 1%
26 STEIPP Mathew 100% 81% 39% 10% 1% -
27 MORRIS Gray 100% 64% 22% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.