The Tom Lucente Hangover Classic 2026

Div III Mixed Saber

Sunday, March 1, 2026 at 1:30 PM

Richmond Fencing Club - Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 SEMP Brannon A. - - 2% 24% 74%
2 WANG Ziyao 1% 9% 31% 41% 17% 2%
3 KUCZAJDA Matthew - - - 5% 31% 63%
3 ALLEN Asa - 8% 42% 40% 9%
5 LIAO Sirui - 5% 30% 46% 20%
6 SU Ji - 2% 12% 38% 41% 7%
7 ISAACSON Bjorn - 3% 20% 45% 32%
8 EVELYN Wyatt 12% 51% 30% 6% -
9 MOFFITT William 1% 13% 40% 40% 6%
10 CARTER Robert 9% 33% 38% 17% 3% -
11 VILLAR St John 26% 48% 22% 3% -
12 SIMS Martin L. 5% 29% 45% 20% 1%
13 SHELLY Emery 13% 37% 35% 13% 2% -
14 SMITH Connor 26% 45% 24% 4% -
15 PETERS William 26% 45% 24% 5% - -
16 CLEMMONS William 69% 28% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.