9th Annual Sword in the Stone RYC & RJCC

Junior Women's Foil

Sunday, March 1, 2026 at 11:00 AM

Happy Stages - North Hollywood, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZHANG Ivy 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
2 KENSICKI Phoebe 100% 100% 100% 94% 72% 33% 6%
3 MIYASHIRO Katelyn 100% 100% 98% 90% 63% 24%
3 HSIAO Ariya 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 17%
5 VILLARAMA Kara 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 20%
6 ZHOU Joi 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 20%
7 CHOI Sophie 100% 92% 66% 30% 8% 1%
8 HAN Gian 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2%
9 PEDERSEN Haley 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 39% 9%
10 LI Chelsea 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 22% 3%
11 KIM Natalie 100% 96% 79% 45% 15% 2%
12 CHOI Jion 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 22%
13 WANG Doreen 100% 91% 63% 27% 6% 1%
14 CHANG Olivia 100% 100% 94% 73% 37% 10% 1%
15 RUI Jessie 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 22% 3%
16 VOROBIEV Alexandra 100% 81% 39% 10% 1% - -
17 FANG Kelervia 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
18 YANG Hanli 100% 100% 98% 83% 48% 15% 2%
19 DAI Iris Yuyang 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 20% 2%
20 WU Chingfei Amber 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 12%
20 KIM Lauren 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
22 WILLIAMSON Tessa 100% 100% 97% 79% 43% 12% 1%
23 LUCAS Ava 100% 99% 89% 59% 24% 5% -
24 OLSHANSKY Dalia 100% 98% 79% 38% 10% 1% -
25 MONAT Jennifer 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 8% 1%
26 DEJOY Leilah 100% 86% 43% 11% 1% - -
27 WANG Ellen 100% 60% 19% 3% - - -
28 LEE Abigail 100% 97% 75% 34% 8% 1% -
29 YAO Abby 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
30 TEWARI Amaira 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
31 LI Sophia 100% 93% 57% 18% 3% - -
32 PAWAR Sanvi 100% 67% 23% 4% - - -
33 GUTIERREZ Gia 100% 43% 8% 1% - - -
34 YANG Byanca 100% 51% 11% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.