9th Annual Sword in the Stone RYC & RJCC

Junior Women's Saber

Sunday, March 1, 2026 at 4:00 PM

Happy Stages - North Hollywood, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LONG Chloe 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 21%
2 CHAN Jolene 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 51%
3 LIU Hannah 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
3 JUNG Sienna 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 3%
5 KISARA-KELLY Aiko 100% 85% 47% 13% 2% < 1% -
6 BORDAS HILL Georgiana 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 55% 12%
7 VILLAMATER Mia Franchesca 100% 98% 82% 45% 12% 1%
8 CHANG Kaitlyn 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 8%
9 TEYSSIER Katherine 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 46%
10 LIN Ariel 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
11 RUSMEVICHIENTONG Lyla 100% 100% 94% 73% 36% 8%
12 SANTIAGO Hannah 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2%
13 CAI Veronica 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 13%
14 LIM Eunice 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 2%
15 BAEK Aileen 100% 98% 84% 49% 14% 1%
16 WANG Makayla 100% 96% 73% 33% 7% 1% -
17 KIM Alexia 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 7%
18 CHEN Colette 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 33% 6%
19 PEREIRA Izumi 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23% 3%
20 PARK Chloe 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 21%
21 HU Ashley 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 22% 3%
22 DENG Oscar 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1%
23 FANG Lauren 100% 79% 35% 8% 1% -
24 YUMIACO Samantha 100% 89% 52% 16% 2% - -
25 BAIRD Kaleah 100% 99% 90% 60% 21% 3% -
26 LEE Alana 100% 74% 30% 6% 1% -
27 PANCHAL Arya 100% 88% 53% 19% 3% -
28 DAVIS Layla 100% 62% 20% 3% - - -
28 ZHANG Cecilia 100% 82% 41% 11% 1% - -
30 SULEMAN Yasmin 100% 73% 30% 7% 1% -
31 WELCH Greta 100% 85% 46% 13% 2% - -
32 ENNIS Charlotte 100% 74% 32% 8% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.