NEUSFA 2026 Summer National Qualifiers

Y-14 Women's Foil

Saturday, March 14, 2026 at 9:00 AM

Boston Fencing Club - Boston, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WEN Lillian 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
2 BENNETT Emi 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 17% 2%
3 RADVANY Simone 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
3 BENTLEY Amelia 100% 92% 63% 25% 5% -
5 OTTAVIANO Maris 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 20% 3%
6 SUN Erin 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 33%
7 ONTSO Eleanor 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 2%
8 MCCLELLAN Florence 100% 88% 54% 19% 3% -
9 HONG Mabel 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 8%
10 SHUTZER Lily 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 16%
11 OBERG Lola 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 21%
12 ZHU Joanna 100% 97% 79% 44% 13% 1%
13 MA Cloris 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% 1%
14 XU Elaina 100% 90% 58% 22% 5% 1% -
15 ZHOU Lillian 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 3% -
16 IRWIN Juliet 100% 94% 67% 29% 5% -
17 LUXIEO Cathy 100% 82% 42% 12% 1% -
18 DALY Penny 100% 84% 47% 15% 3% -
19 EISNER Danielle 100% 77% 36% 10% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.