Event Results

Div II Mixed Épée

St. Paddy's Slay at NKFASurprise Map

Saturday, March 14, 2026 at 11:00 AM NKY Fencing Academy (NKFA) · Ludlow, KY, USA

28 finishers

Difficulty Upsets Pool Heatmap Strength

Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.

#	Name	Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome		Pool Victories
#	Name	Pool	DE	Exp.	Act.	Diff.
1	PRIJATEL John R.	D D V V V V	V V V V V	4.8	4	-0.8
2	ADAMISIN Brayden	D V D D V V	V V V V D	3.9	3	-0.9
3	ELLIS, IV Floyd	D V D V D V	V V V D	3.4	3	-0.4
3	LONG Erika	V V D V D V	V V V D	2.7	4	+1.3
5	STAUBITZ Marc	V V D V V V	V D	4.2	5	+0.8
6	MILLER Zach	V D V D V V	V V D	4.4	4	-0.4
7	IGNATIK Piotr	V D V V D V	V V D	3.2	4	+0.8
8	TURNER Joshua	D V V V V D	V V D	4.8	4	-0.8
9	BETTS Jr Anthony P.	V V V V V V	D	4.7	6	+1.3
10	MCNARY Ross	V V V V D V	D	4.0	5	+1.0
11	FUCHS Robert	V V V V V D	D	2.5	5	+2.5
12	GOODMAN Benjamin	D V V V V D	V D	4.6	4	-0.6
13	MARTIN Dirk	V D V D V V	V D	5.0	4	-1.0
14	FULLER II Thomas	D V V V D V	V D	3.8	4	+0.2
15	METZ Evan	D V V V V D	V D	4.3	4	-0.3
16	NOLL Jack	V V D D V D	V D	2.0	3	+1.0
17	BATES Madison	V D D D V V	D	2.2	3	+0.8
18	KOCSIS Cherry	V V D V D D	D	1.5	3	+1.5
19	PICKREL Maxwell	D V V D V D	D	1.7	3	+1.3
20	MAI Carl D.	V D V D D D	D	3.9	2	-1.9
21	LEOPOLD Grant	D V D V D D	D	2.1	2	-0.1
22	GILL Anhad	D D D V D V	D	2.3	2	-0.3
23	ANDERSON Noah	D D D D V D	D	3.2	1	-2.2
24	SCHNEIDER Bradley	D V D D D D	D	1.8	1	-0.8
25	SCHNEIDER Stephanie	D D D D D V	D	0.6	1	+0.4
26	DUTTON Kitty	D D D D D D	D	0.8	0	-0.8
27	ABUSUNDUS Ahmed	D D D D D D	D	0.9	0	-0.9
28	ADAMS Christopher	D D D D D D	D	0.6	0	-0.6

Outcome	Difficulty	Win Probability
Victory	Very Hard	0% to 20%
Victory	Hard	20% to 40%
Victory	Roughly Even	40% to 60%
Victory	Easy	60% to 80%
Victory	Very Easy	80% to 100%
Defeat	Very Hard	0% to 20%
Defeat	Hard	20% to 40%
Defeat	Roughly Even	40% to 60%
Defeat	Easy	60% to 80%
Defeat	Very Easy	80% to 100%

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