St. Paddy's Slay at NKFA

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, March 14, 2026 at 3:30 PM

NKY Fencing Academy (NKFA) - Ludlow, KY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ECKEL Anson J. 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 31% 4%
2 GOODMAN Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 31% 5%
3 KALAPASEV Nenad (Ned) (Ned) S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 44%
3 TURNER Joshua 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 19% 2%
5 TRAN John 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 36% 8%
6 IGNATIK Piotr 100% 100% 98% 85% 46% 11% 1%
7 MILLER Zach 100% 100% 100% 94% 67% 27% 4%
8 ELLIS, IV Floyd 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 20% 2%
9 PRIJATEL John R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 59%
10 BETTS Jr Anthony P. 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 12%
11 ADAMISIN Brayden 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
12 SHERWOOD Dominic 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
13 STAUBITZ Marc 100% 100% 98% 74% 34% 8% 1%
14 LONG Erika 100% 94% 68% 31% 8% 1% -
15 METZ Evan 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 24% 3%
16 NOLL Jack 100% 78% 35% 7% 1% - -
17 MCNARY Ross 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 16% 1%
18 KOCSIS Cherry 100% 97% 71% 31% 8% 1% -
19 FULLER II Thomas 100% 100% 99% 83% 44% 12% 1%
20 ZEHE Michele A. 100% 81% 37% 8% 1% - -
21 MAI Carl D. 100% 99% 88% 57% 22% 4% -
22 FUCHS Robert 100% 100% 94% 72% 36% 10% 1%
23 LEOPOLD Grant 100% 88% 20% 2% - - -
24 PICKREL Maxwell 100% 96% 75% 36% 9% 1% -
25 ADAMS Christopher 100% 26% 3% - - - -
26 GILL Anhad 100% 81% 39% 9% 1% - -
27 ABUSUNDUS Ahmed 100% 73% 30% 6% 1% - -
28 DUTTON Kitty 100% 17% - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.