San Antonio Cup IV

Mixed Épée

Saturday, March 14, 2026 at 1:30 PM

UIW Fencing Salle/Olympian Fencing Club (at St. Anthony High School.) - San Antonio, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 HURME Tommi K. 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 35%
2 YOUNG Vivian 100% 100% 97% 77% 30%
3 THAYER Jake T. 100% 100% 100% 98% 63%
3 NEAL John P. 100% 100% 98% 82% 42% 8%
5 TIEMANN Landen 100% 99% 88% 42% 9% 1%
6 YANG Zeph 100% 100% 97% 72% 19%
7 SEEFELDT William Henry C. 100% 100% 99% 87% 26%
8 CAVNAR Peyton 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 9%
9 HANSEN Lars 100% 100% 98% 79% 34% 5%
10 GONZALEZ Michael 100% 99% 91% 62% 22% 3%
10 KANASKAR Ila 100% 97% 82% 48% 15% 2%
12 OBREBSKI Kevin 100% 95% 61% 8% -
13 CRAVEY Donald (Don) N. 100% 100% 98% 83% 47% 11%
14 HUANG Selina 100% 85% 31% 3% -
15 TRACY James 100% 96% 68% 22% 2%
16 BOURDEAU Emily B. 100% 93% 59% 18% 1%
17 ULRICH Jacob 100% 42% 7% - -
18 RILEY Christian 100% 89% 52% 15% 2% -
19 SMITH Samuel J. 100% 75% 10% - - -
20 POHL Philip 100% 92% 60% 22% 4% -
21 SEYMOUR Phoenix 100% 40% 5% - -
22 HAGEN Alexandra 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.