GRAFA RYC\RJCC\ROC- Third Coast Cup

Div III Men's Foil

Saturday, March 14, 2026 at 3:30 PM

MSA Sports Spot - Grand Rapids, MI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 WILEY Conor - 1% 10% 31% 40% 18%
2 ROBINSON Keegan B. - - - - 7% 93%
3 WENGER Liam 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 6%
3 LINEBERRY CADEN - 2% 13% 35% 37% 13%
5 IRVINE Brody - - 5% 23% 45% 27%
6 ZMUDA Aiden - - 2% 18% 46% 34%
7 FLYNN Oliver 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3%
8 TAGORE Reyansh - 9% 38% 38% 13% 1%
9 COOK Grant - 1% 7% 26% 41% 25%
9 DAVIS Benjamin - 2% 14% 36% 36% 12%
11 DEPP Edward - 10% 40% 41% 9% -
12 WENGER Rowan 4% 23% 41% 25% 6% -
13 YU Leo - 1% 8% 37% 52% 3%
14 DENG Albert 10% 52% 32% 6% - -
15 STORER Alexander - 2% 12% 34% 38% 14%
15 CRONK Trevor 10% 34% 37% 16% 3% -
17 NI Aaric 8% 31% 39% 19% 3%
17 TIAN Nicolas 1% 9% 30% 41% 19%
19 XU Rambert 9% 31% 37% 19% 4% -
20 CHASE Crosby 7% 36% 38% 15% 3% -
21 PAYNE Lynas 1% 11% 42% 38% 8% -
22 TAGORE Ayansh 34% 43% 19% 4% -
23 TERPSTRA Clive 49% 39% 11% 1% - -
24 MCCONKEY Eric - 1% 9% 31% 41% 18%
25 MCGRATH Milo 4% 25% 41% 24% 6% -
26 CHAN William 15% 36% 33% 14% 3% -
27 VOGEL Rylan 54% 37% 8% 1% - -
28 MCCONKEY Tristan 1% 12% 33% 38% 15%
29 GLUCK Trenton 5% 24% 40% 26% 6%
30 KOLACKI Gabriel 16% 38% 32% 11% 2% -
31 GU Jonathan 7% 34% 43% 15% 2% -
32 GALLAGHER Ethan 70% 27% 3% - - -
34 TUNNEY Campbell 1% 10% 35% 39% 14% 1%
35 MORAY Joshua 2% 18% 39% 31% 9% 1%
36 RAVEN Dexter 2% 19% 41% 30% 8% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.