Maple Madness 2026

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, March 14, 2026 at 10:00 AM

Vergennes Union High School - South Burlington, VT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LI Fei 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 18%
2 ORDORICA Abra 100% 97% 81% 52% 22% 5% 1%
3 TIBBETTS Lily 100% 99% 90% 66% 34% 10% 1%
3 CROTHER-COLLADO Gabriela 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
5 MAZZEI Valentino 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 20% 3%
6 COLLIER Samara 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
7 ABRAMOWICZ Tara 100% 96% 79% 47% 17% 3% -
8 WHEELER Michele L. 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% - -
9 HUENINK Jean Louise 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 15% 2%
10 POPE MCCRIGHT Emma 100% 97% 82% 52% 22% 5% -
11 MORI Natsuko 100% 90% 56% 20% 3% - -
12 CUTLER Karen 100% 100% 95% 77% 45% 14% 1%
13 BENHAMMOU Faridah 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 3%
14 MILLER Aimee 100% 94% 60% 20% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.