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Event Results

E & Under Mixed Saber

TMFC Saber Cup #4 March Match Madness! (Manhattan)Pool Heatmap

Saturday, March 14, 2026 at 5:30 PM Tim Morehouse Fencing Club · Manhattan, NY, USA
10 finishers
Birth year

At-Least Win Probabilities

Boxed values show the actual result while each column shows the chance of reaching at least that many pool wins.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4
1 SPENCER-EL Elijah 100% 100% 95% 68% 21%
2 CHIANG Ethan 100% 98% 83% 48% 13%
3 SIMEONIDIS Aris 100% 100% 96% 72% 26%
3 FAUCI Michael John 100% 100% 99% 87% 37%
5 ILAGAN Ava 100% 100% 90% 30% 2%
6 LEISTNER Armin 100% 100% 93% 51% 11%
7 LEON Malolae 100% 87% 43% 8% -
8 KANA Aria 100% 62% 17% 1% -
9 UPBIN Olivia 100% 7% - - -
10 ONOFREY Catherine 100% 99% 46% 9% 1%