Fortune RYC/RJCC

Y-10 Women's Foil

Saturday, March 14, 2026 at 2:00 PM

Ontario Convention Center - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHUNG Charlotte 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 25%
2 KO Alyssa 100% 100% 99% 96% 80% 48% 14%
3 TURBAT Celine 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 30%
3 FU Angela 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 15%
5 LIN Clara 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 24%
6 KUK Sophie 100% 98% 88% 63% 31% 9% 1%
7 GU Alexandra 100% 100% 98% 87% 52% 13%
8 PEROJO Angie 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 40%
9 TUNG Alison 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 4%
10 LIU Sienna 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1%
11 DAI Claire 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 16%
12 ZHANG Anthea Jia Jia 100% 100% 99% 87% 52% 13%
13 CHANG Yuri 100% 96% 78% 46% 17% 3% -
14 YOON Adeline 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 19% 3%
15 LOPEZ-HOR Emma Meixian 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
16 KENZHEBULATOVA Sara 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 10% 1%
17 ZHAI Muyan 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29%
18 LIN Tiffany 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 40%
19 CHEN Chloe 100% 100% 97% 86% 59% 25% 5%
20 ISAAC Felicity 100% 99% 93% 68% 28% 4%
21 SHEN Rebecca 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21%
22 CHENG Jessica 100% 96% 75% 42% 14% 3% -
23 MARENITCH Kara 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 9% 1%
24 DING Athena 100% 98% 88% 59% 24% 4%
25 YI Helen 100% 87% 53% 19% 3% -
26 SUN Zoey 100% 100% 96% 75% 34% 6%
27 JOE Everly 100% 99% 90% 63% 29% 7% 1%
28 PUTMAN Allison 100% 96% 77% 45% 17% 3% -
29 SINGH Aditi 100% 97% 82% 49% 18% 3% -
30 DONG Ena 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% 1% -
31 SCHOR Katherine 100% 86% 42% 11% 1% - -
32 ZEE Bella 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4%
33 CHOW Ariel 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 7% 1%
34 LU Abigail 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 28% 6%
35 SUN Grace 100% 95% 71% 30% 6% -
36 HARUTYUNYAN Alisa 100% 91% 59% 20% 3% -
37 SUN April 100% 96% 77% 44% 15% 3% -
38 LU Jocelyn 100% 98% 87% 61% 29% 8% 1%
39 ISBELL Clara 100% 85% 44% 11% 1% -
39 KOO Jamie 100% 72% 28% 5% - -
41 KONG Janisa 100% 99% 91% 63% 25% 5% -
42 GUAN Angie 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 24%
43 DU Zoey 100% 99% 92% 69% 36% 11% 1%
44 SHEN Lexi 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
45 TAM Alisa 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 8% 1%
46 WANG Irelia 100% 93% 69% 35% 11% 2% -
47 CHEUNG Esabella 100% 81% 38% 8% 1% -
47 QU Iris 100% 71% 27% 4% - -
49 LU Mackenzie 100% 52% 12% 1% - - -
50 BORG Annie 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% - -
50 SONG Esther W 100% 79% 41% 13% 2% - -
52 YU Evelyn 100% 89% 58% 23% 5% -
53 GUO Antong 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.