NEUSFA 2026 Summer National Qualifiers

Div II Women's Épée

Sunday, March 15, 2026 at 1:30 PM

Boston Fencing Club - Boston, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TIAN Victoria 100% 100% 95% 72% 29% 1%
2 BI Michelle 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 15%
3 ERSHOVA Anastasia 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 32%
3 STOCKTON Catherine 100% 98% 80% 39% 8% -
5 CHEN Allison 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 26% 4%
6 CROWDER Julia 100% 97% 75% 33% 6% -
7 PHUONG Elaine 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 11%
8 DING Iris Siyue 100% 98% 86% 59% 26% 6% 1%
9 BANNERMAN Courtney 100% 100% 99% 96% 81% 50% 16%
10 BAJAJ Nikita K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87%
11 SONG Charlotte 100% 99% 92% 68% 34% 10% 1%
12 KUANG Yiqi 100% 100% 98% 90% 67% 33% 7%
13 JENSEN MJ 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 26%
14 ERIKSEN Kate 100% 95% 76% 43% 16% 3% -
15 REID Forrest 100% 97% 79% 40% 9% -
16 JOHNSON Kaia 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
17 WALMSLEY Rowan 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 21% 4%
18 MCMAHON Julia 100% 94% 67% 25% 4% - -
19 DANCER Adrienne 100% 98% 88% 61% 29% 8% 1%
20 SPRINGER Lily 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% - -
21 LE NOC’H Farrah 100% 96% 78% 46% 17% 4% -
22 MAES Heather J. 100% 100% 94% 69% 27% 5% -
23 WESTERFELD Zoey 100% 68% 23% 3% - - -
24 AUDET Scarlett 100% 44% 8% 1% - -
26 GARZON Laura 100% 81% 36% 7% 1% - -
27 TUCKER Ellen 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% - -
28 JIN Yuehan 100% 95% 74% 41% 14% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.