GRAFA RYC\RJCC\ROC- Third Coast Cup

Div I-A Women's Foil

Sunday, March 15, 2026 at 12:00 PM

MSA Sports Spot - Grand Rapids, MI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CULLIVAN Sienna 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 21% 3%
2 HARRIS Parker 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 23% 4%
3 TAN Dorathy 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 30% 1%
3 KNAPP Isabella 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 9% 1%
5 SENIC Adeline 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97%
6 QUINN Anna 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 32% 7%
7 AADHI Hansika 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 16%
8 MATTUPALLI Ashwika 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2% -
9 HOROWITZ Shuli 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 27% 5%
10 POWERS Meredith R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 34%
11 SWOPE Farren 100% 98% 82% 49% 17% 3% -
12 COLLINS Anna 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 1% -
13 SONG Jenna 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
14 KANG Marian 100% 98% 82% 49% 18% 3% -
15 HOOGSTRA Lucy 100% 95% 69% 32% 9% 1% -
16 XIONG Isabel 100% 93% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
17 KOZINSKI Allison E. 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 3% -
18 MORSE Katherine 100% 93% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
19 BLAKEY Heaven 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
20 PERRIN Emma 100% 57% 17% 3% - - -
21 TAYLOR-OSBORN Nadia 100% 68% 26% 6% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.