Portland ROC

Veteran Men's Épée

Friday, March 20, 2026 at 4:00 PM

Northwest Fencing Center - Tigard, OR, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 CRANOR Erich L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 75%
2 BALDWIN Seth K. 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 28%
3 KROGH Daniel (Dan) M. 100% 100% 100% 93% 61% 13%
3 MORENO BRIONES Patricio A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 90%
5 BAXTER Daniel J. 100% 100% 100% 90% 56% 15%
6 MCTIGUE J. Michael 100% 100% 99% 81% 40% 8%
7 REED David 100% 93% 58% 11% -
8 GE Liang 100% 34% 4% - - -
9 LAKE Adam 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 57%
10 KRYLTSOV Greg 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 13%
11 ELLINGTON Jeff B. 100% 100% 96% 72% 25% 3%
12 GILLER Irving 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 12%
13 HARTRANFT Scott 100% 78% 29% 3% -
14 BRAY Bruce 100% 99% 83% 37% 7% -
15 DAN Chuntao 100% 87% 47% 13% 2% -
16 ZHANG Zhiyu 100% 51% 11% 1% - -
17 KING Richard (Dick) M. 100% 99% 90% 49% 11% 1%
18 HOOPES Erik A. 100% 100% 95% 65% 6%
19 HOOPES Jr. Richard R. 100% 100% 99% 86% 44% 4%
20 CLINEFELTER Dennis S. 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 20%
21 BARNA Randall 100% 98% 79% 38% 9% 1%
22 PETERSEN Aaron 100% 72% 26% 3% - -
23 HOOPES III Richard R. 100% 100% 95% 62% 20% 2%
24 HEBERLING John G. 100% 80% 31% 5% - -
25 GANDOUR-ROOD Elliott (Eli) J. 100% 88% 23% 2% - -
26 CASONI Cory 100% 98% 80% 40% 7% -
27 BABCOCK James 100% 86% 33% 5% - -
28 NABORS Ottie 100% 19% 1% - - -
29 CLIFTON Kenneth 100% 58% 13% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.