Wang Memorial ROC/RJCC/RYC

Junior Women's Saber

Saturday, March 21, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Dallas Market Hall MAIN HALL - Dallas, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	LAI Karen	-	1%	7%	23%	37%	26%	6%
2	KANG Soeun	-	1%	7%	27%	39%	22%	4%
3	MOON Claire	-	-	-	3%	17%	41%	38%
3	XIAO Cindy	-	1%	8%	28%	42%	20%
5	LUKER Hannah	-	-	1%	6%	27%	49%	17%
6	CHERUKURI Tanvi	-	1%	16%	39%	34%	10%
7	YE Madeleine	-	1%	8%	25%	37%	24%	6%
8	KO Ariel	-	1%	14%	37%	37%	12%
9	PARK Geraldyn Sojung	-	-	-	1%	7%	38%	54%
10	DUFF Caitlin	-	-	1%	7%	28%	42%	21%
11	HUANG Valencia	-	4%	17%	33%	31%	13%	2%
12	WITEK Isabelle	1%	6%	22%	35%	26%	9%	1%
13	CHERON Helene	1%	9%	28%	38%	21%	4%
14	JOSHI Samika	-	3%	16%	33%	32%	14%	2%
15	HU Heidi	-	2%	14%	36%	36%	11%	1%
16	WILSON Eva	-	1%	8%	28%	42%	22%
17	LU QIWEN	-	2%	22%	41%	28%	6%
18	KIM Lucy	13%	35%	34%	15%	3%	-	-
19	HAM Elizabeth	2%	13%	34%	36%	14%	2%	-
20	SADANI Jyotika	-	-	8%	30%	42%	20%
21	ROMERO Aanandhamayi	17%	39%	32%	11%	2%	-
22	GUPTA Kanak	29%	43%	22%	5%	1%	-	-
23	LEE Ariella	30%	42%	22%	5%	1%	-	-
24	PEREIRA Izumi	-	-	4%	16%	35%	34%	11%
24	CHANG Annette	-	-	1%	8%	26%	41%	24%
26	OEI Allyson	10%	32%	37%	18%	4%	-
27	LIM Eunice	2%	13%	34%	35%	14%	2%	-
28	MEADE Kaia G.	5%	26%	37%	24%	7%	1%	-
29	CHA Jungyun	13%	36%	34%	14%	2%	-
30	SRA Nureen	25%	59%	14%	1%	-	-
31	OH Chloe	-	5%	19%	35%	29%	11%	1%
32	KHAN Zoya	40%	41%	16%	3%	-	-	-
33	BACKES Anastasia	4%	19%	37%	29%	9%	1%	-
34	GAO Olivia	3%	17%	36%	31%	11%	2%	-
35	SEO Yunseo	1%	12%	31%	34%	17%	4%	-
36	KIM Grace M.	2%	16%	34%	31%	14%	3%	-
37	GILLENTINE Madelyn	23%	44%	26%	7%	1%	-	-
38	ZHANG Julia	62%	35%	3%	-	-	-
39	CHACKO Anne	26%	44%	24%	5%	-	-	-
40	PRASHANTH Mythri	1%	9%	28%	36%	21%	5%	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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