Wang Memorial ROC/RJCC/RYC

Div II Women's Saber

Saturday, March 21, 2026 at 12:00 PM

Dallas Market Hall MAIN HALL - Dallas, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	PEREIRA Izumi	-	2%	11%	26%	33%	22%	6%
2	LAI Karen	1%	12%	34%	38%	13%	1%
3	TENG Christine Renmei	-	-	1%	13%	44%	41%
3	OEI Allyson	2%	15%	37%	33%	11%	1%
5	SADANI Jyotika	-	-	5%	24%	48%	23%
6	LU QIWEN	1%	11%	33%	40%	16%
7	KO Ariel	-	2%	10%	26%	33%	22%	6%
8	LUKER Hannah	-	-	1%	10%	37%	52%
9	HU Heidi	-	3%	18%	39%	33%	7%
10	CHERUKURI Tanvi	1%	7%	28%	42%	22%
11	HUANG Valencia	2%	10%	25%	32%	22%	8%	1%
12	MATSUO Kei	-	-	4%	22%	48%	26%
13	HAM Elizabeth	4%	25%	41%	25%	5%
14	XIE Shirley	33%	44%	19%	3%	-	-
15	GILLENTINE Madelyn	10%	43%	36%	10%	1%	-
16	CHA Jungyun	12%	38%	36%	12%	1%	-
17	YE Madeleine	-	2%	10%	25%	33%	23%	6%
18	SEO Yunseo	1%	16%	42%	32%	8%	1%
19	LIM Eunice	4%	26%	41%	24%	5%
20	OH Chloe	1%	9%	35%	40%	14%	1%
21	WITEK Isabelle	7%	30%	40%	20%	3%	-
21	MEADE Kaia G.	11%	37%	36%	14%	2%	-
23	JOSHI Samika	1%	11%	32%	38%	16%	2%
24	ROMERO Aanandhamayi	4%	19%	33%	28%	12%	3%	-
25	ALTMAN Leigh	-	< 1%	2%	14%	46%	39%
26	OOI Elise	16%	35%	31%	14%	3%	-	-
27	GUPTA Kanak	50%	38%	10%	1%	-
28	WEBB Maud	2%	11%	27%	32%	20%	7%	1%
29	LEE Ariella	43%	41%	14%	2%	-	-
30	KARAM Ayleen	61%	33%	5%	-	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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