Capital Czajkowski Cup #3

Senior Mixed Saber

Saturday, March 21, 2026 at 2:00 PM

Capital Fencing Academy - Rockville, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHEN Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
2 WEI Rian 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 18%
3 ARIAS Cesar A 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 56% 12%
3 VALENCIA Jose 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 9%
5 SLAVNOV Anton 100% 100% 99% 76% 19% 2% < 1%
6 CHAWLA Abhishek 100% 100% 95% 74% 34% 7% 1%
7 MOON Noah 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 6% -
8 PENSWATER John 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 56% 12%
9 PATEL Rayn 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
10 RINALDI Savio 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 19% 3%
11 PARK Jesse 100% 100% 94% 74% 39% 12% 1%
12 AMES Kylan 100% 99% 88% 56% 20% 3% -
13 MATT Chris 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 90% 49%
14 ROBLES Julio C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 27%
15 AERY FALLICK Ozzie 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 21%
16 WANG Max 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 26% 3%
17 MARKOWITZ Jonathan 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 23% 3%
18 COOKSON Leonardo 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 31% 5%
19 LIU Jayden 100% 99% 92% 65% 28% 6% -
20 RACHAPROLU Divyagnyaan Siddartha 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% - -
21 SZULIM Rad 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 36% 7%
22 LU Charles 100% 82% 42% 12% 2% - -
23 STRUCKER Rocco 100% 100% 94% 72% 36% 9% 1%
24 CEDENO Andres 100% 98% 81% 45% 15% 2% -
25 HEIMOV Brennan 100% 64% 10% - - - -
26 PIPKE Garrett 100% 97% 76% 35% 8% 1% -
27 CHEN Tim 100% 64% 21% 3% - - -
28 KUCZAJDA Matthew 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 9% 1%
29 MILLS Matthew 100% 99% 83% 25% 2% - -
30 PAUL Jimmy 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 2% -
31 JIN Adam 100% 66% 24% 4% - - -
32 FERRIS Oliver 100% 31% 4% - - - -
33 CAO Sophie 100% 92% 57% 20% 4% - -
34 OHASHI Jax 100% 52% 7% - - - -
35 URIBE David 100% 83% 39% 10% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.