Portland ROC

Div II Men's Épée

Saturday, March 21, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Northwest Fencing Center - Tigard, OR, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MATHES Caleb 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 42%
2 WANG aaron 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16%
3 KIM Teo 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 37%
3 TOYOFUKU Lucas 100% 100% 95% 70% 31% 7% 1%
5 ST CLAIR Soren 100% 100% 98% 88% 64% 30% 6%
6 RAMIREZ Hunter 100% 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% -
7 ELLINGTON Jeff B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33%
8 RAMIREZ Tristan 100% 98% 82% 48% 16% 3% -
9 LEE Daniel 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 7%
10 REED David 100% 100% 97% 79% 42% 10% 1%
11 BRACCO Cameron 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 32% 6%
12 GE Ray 100% 100% 93% 66% 26% 4% -
13 SCOTT Gavin 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 40% 9%
14 SZETO Zachary 100% 85% 39% 8% 1% - -
15 CASONI Calder 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1% -
16 HARRISKING Benjamin 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 28% 5%
17 ST.CLAIRE-KING Tenzin 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
18 SRINIVASAN Sanat Ram 100% 100% 98% 83% 46% 13% 1%
19 MYRAH Devin 100% 99% 90% 59% 21% 3% -
20 WITECKI Jack 100% 100% 97% 86% 60% 27% 5%
21 BRAY Bruce 100% 100% 98% 89% 65% 32% 7%
22 KING Richard (Dick) M. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 9%
23 CHOI Elliot 100% 98% 88% 62% 30% 8% 1%
24 PRITCHARD Aidan 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 21%
25 DAN Chuntao 100% 98% 87% 60% 28% 7% 1%
26 PATEL Krish 100% 96% 73% 33% 8% 1% -
27 YE Aiden 100% 55% 15% 2% - - -
28 CALKINS Logan 100% 89% 58% 25% 7% 1% -
29 BRUBAKER Silas 100% 65% 20% 3% - - -
30 PETERSEN Aaron 100% 94% 53% 15% 2% - -
31 CLIFTON Kenneth 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3% -
32 GANDOUR-ROOD Elliott (Eli) J. 100% 92% 65% 31% 9% 2% -
33 VALADEZ Jasper 100% 81% 37% 7% 1% - -
34 CASONI Cory 100% 53% 13% 1% - - -
35 GOERTZ Theodore 100% 24% 2% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.