Portland ROC

Div I-A Men's Saber

Saturday, March 21, 2026 at 12:00 PM

Northwest Fencing Center - Tigard, OR, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 WESLER Logan A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 59%
2 LOPEZ Misael 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 44%
3 RIGGINS Littleton K. 100% 100% 100% 96% 70% 17%
3 ST.CLAIRE-KING Tenzin 100% 99% 87% 53% 16% 1%
5 SUORSA Markus 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 31%
6 VENKATRAMAN Sudhir 100% 98% 81% 43% 11% 1%
7 HONG Arick 100% 97% 77% 41% 11% 1%
8 HOLMES Xavier 100% 91% 64% 29% 7% 1%
9 FERRIS JR. Michael 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 7%
10 RASHELL Simon 100% 100% 94% 72% 34% 6%
11 SULLIVAN Gerard 100% 98% 79% 42% 12% 1%
12 LOPER Alex 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 32%
13 LIAO Yifong 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
14 PIISPANEN Eric A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 55%
15 LOWE-NILSEN Devon 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3%
16 MITCHELL-LU Hiro 100% 99% 76% 27% 2% -
17 ENGLE Aidric 100% 100% 93% 56% 8% -
18 VACCA Giovanni 100% 100% 91% 55% 13% 1%
19 HONG Aidan 100% 99% 85% 41% 7% -
20 KULKARNI Shreyas 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2%
21 MA Yanjie 100% 97% 71% 29% 5% -
22 MORRIS Gray 100% 23% 1% - - -
23 JONES Tyler 100% 81% 33% 6% - -
24 MOREHOUSE Brandon 100% 92% 44% 8% - -
25 BARRETT Kevin 100% 99% 87% 55% 20% 3%
26 HERRERA Tristan K. 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 10%
26 JOHNSON Jack 100% 45% 9% 1% - -
28 NORVAL Ryan J. 100% 94% 72% 37% 11% 1%
29 TEE Benjamin 100% 45% 6% - - -
30 GIBSON Zel 100% 54% 14% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.