NC Div2/3/Y14 National Qualifying Tournament

Div II Men's Épée

Saturday, March 21, 2026 at 12:00 PM

Apex Fencing Academy - Apex, NC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 FONG Henry 100% 93% 65% 27% 5%
2 WEIKEL Joel 100% 95% 69% 24% 3%
3 SINGH Shaurya 100% 89% 52% 16% 2% -
3 URIA Sullivan 100% 96% 74% 35% 7% -
5 MASON Shane A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 56%
6 STEPANIAN George 100% 73% 27% 4% -
7 REHDER Silas 100% 100% 96% 73% 20%
8 MALONE Jacob 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 9%
9 VERGARA Jace Riley 100% 96% 72% 32% 7% 1%
10 PAYNE John T. 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 27%
11 DAVIS John "Jack" 100% 70% 26% 4% -
12 CUTHBERTSON Dax 100% 91% 60% 21% 3%
13 KELLY Blair 100% 77% 34% 7% 1%
14 REHDER Caleb 100% 100% 94% 70% 27%
15 THOMAS Jr. Robert D. 100% 100% 99% 88% 54% 12%
16 RUSSELL Tallis 100% 96% 77% 39% 9% 1%
17 HATCHER David 100% 100% 95% 73% 30%
18 GADOW Patrick 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 8%
19 TAURMAN Jr. Patrick J. 100% 67% 23% 4% - -
20 FACEY Zion 100% 98% 84% 48% 12%
21 PERI Mourya 100% 88% 53% 17% 3% -
22 JANKE Maximilian 100% 72% 29% 5% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.