Wang Memorial ROC/RJCC/RYC

Cadet Women's Saber

Sunday, March 22, 2026 at 11:30 AM

Dallas Market Hall MAIN HALL - Dallas, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	LAI Karen	-	-	1%	9%	33%	41%	16%
2	CHERON Helene	-	-	1%	6%	28%	44%	22%
3	KO Ariel	-	1%	6%	25%	42%	26%
3	OH Chloe	-	5%	20%	38%	30%	8%
5	KU Chloe	-	-	-	3%	17%	43%	37%
6	SARATH Sana	-	-	4%	20%	42%	33%
7	PEREIRA Izumi	-	-	2%	12%	33%	40%	14%
8	SEO Yunseo	1%	8%	27%	38%	22%	4%
9	HUANG Valencia	-	1%	13%	40%	36%	10%
10	JOSHI Samika	-	5%	21%	38%	29%	7%
11	KIM Lucy	2%	14%	35%	35%	12%	2%	-
12	HU Heidi	-	-	1%	10%	34%	40%	15%
13	OEI Allyson	-	2%	12%	32%	36%	15%	2%
14	CHERUKURI Tanvi	-	-	7%	31%	44%	18%
15	WEI Levana	-	4%	18%	37%	32%	9%
16	BACKES Anastasia	2%	17%	36%	32%	12%	1%
17	GUPTA Kanak	7%	29%	39%	21%	4%	-	-
18	KANG Soeun	-	-	3%	21%	45%	30%
19	YU Sydney	2%	18%	47%	27%	6%	-
20	MEADE Kaia G.	1%	13%	34%	34%	15%	3%	-
21	PARK Hannah	7%	31%	38%	20%	4%	-
22	SRA Nureen	42%	41%	14%	2%	-	-
23	KIM Grace M.	1%	9%	29%	37%	20%	4%	-
24	CHACKO Anne	7%	32%	38%	18%	4%	-	-
25	GORMAN Samantha	5%	26%	39%	24%	6%	1%
26	PRASHANTH Mythri	22%	49%	24%	4%	-	-
27	KHAN Zoya	12%	36%	36%	14%	2%	-	-
28	ANUP Aadhira	27%	44%	24%	5%	-	-	-
29	GAO Olivia	6%	27%	39%	23%	6%	1%
30	LIU Michelle	43%	41%	14%	2%	-	-
31	KARAM Ayleen	52%	37%	9%	1%	-	-	-
32	ZHANG Julia	51%	42%	7%	-	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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