Miles Chamley-Watson Cup RYC/RJCC/ROC

Div II Men's Saber

Sunday, March 22, 2026 at 11:30 AM

Atlantic City Convention Center - Hall D - Atlantic City, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZELAYA Jayson - 2% 13% 41% 43% 2%
2 ZWAKA Jonas - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
3 LIN Alex - 4% 17% 35% 33% 12%
3 CHEN Felix 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 1%
5 WOLMART Zander 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 7% 1%
6 LOSQUADRO Joseph - 7% 29% 42% 21%
7 CHIEN Nolan 2% 19% 41% 31% 8%
8 LEUNG Arthur 2% 21% 41% 29% 7%
9 JIANG Terence 1% 12% 36% 38% 13%
10 LAZARTE Gabriel - - 4% 15% 31% 34% 15%
11 VIDREVICH David 26% 40% 25% 8% 1% - -
12 KONG Alan - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
13 BANSAL Krishiv 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
14 MARCELLINO Robert 9% 34% 39% 16% 2% -
15 HAUSLER Jayden 7% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
16 FORCE Joel 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
17 QUAN Nicholas - - - - 8% 92%
18 STEWART Samuel 10% 32% 35% 18% 4% < 1%
19 JANG Junyeong 1% 5% 19% 32% 29% 12% 2%
20 LEVY Jack - 3% 13% 32% 36% 15%
21 TSAO Alister 1% 9% 32% 43% 15% -
22 MARSHQUIST Miles 19% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
23 MACK Justin 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
25 JAGANNATHAN Ajay 4% 19% 35% 30% 12% 2%
26 BURGESS-LINDEN Ian 1% 6% 23% 36% 27% 7%
27 DESAUTELS Connor - 1% 5% 19% 37% 31% 6%
28 OLSON Stephen J. - - - 3% 16% 40% 40%
29 SHI Yi 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
30 SEREDVICK Connor 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
31 LIEU Nicholas 12% 34% 34% 16% 3% -
32 BROOKS Drake 4% 19% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
33 JARAMILLO Juan 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
34 SWAMY Ishar 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
35 KOENIGSBERG Jared - 4% 17% 34% 33% 12%
36 COBITZ Harrison 26% 44% 25% 5% - -
37 MARTINEZ Luke 15% 35% 32% 14% 3% - -
38 SANTOS Theodore - 2% 10% 25% 34% 23% 6%
39 DZIALO George A. 1% 10% 28% 36% 21% 4%
40 PILLAI Akshay 23% 40% 26% 8% 1% -
41 ZAY Elijah 1% 10% 26% 34% 22% 6% 1%
42 LEE Korbon 16% 41% 33% 9% 1% -
43 MITCHELL Eric A. 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
44 THACH Tri 72% 24% 3% - -
45 MUKHERJEE Aryan 18% 39% 30% 11% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.