Star Trophy @ Bay Area Fencing Club

Y-14 Mixed Foil

Sunday, March 22, 2026 at 9:00 AM

BAY AREA FENCING CLUB - Pleasanton, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIN Zhengxuan 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 16%
2 SITU Baiqin 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 45%
3 PAN Samantha 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 36%
3 JIN Jiyuan 100% 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2%
5 GARCIA Carter 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 34%
6 HAGIWARA-MATIASEK Kazuma 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 12%
7 SPICER-YOUAKIM Benjamin 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 5% -
8 LU Yuexi 100% 98% 78% 41% 13% 2% -
9 LAI Olivia 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 5%
10 HUANG Barron 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 23% 3%
11 KAIMAN Tabitha 100% 92% 59% 19% 2% - -
12 WONG Iris 100% 100% 100% 72% 22% 2% -
13 PALTA Sanaya 100% 99% 84% 48% 15% 2%
14 KATAYAMA Ian 100% 99% 93% 69% 29% 3% -
15 CHEN Celina 100% 54% 15% 2% - - -
16 STOCK Nina 100% 63% 20% 3% - -
17 GABRIEL Blythe 100% 72% 27% 4% - - -
18 LINTNER-CALVO Julien 100% 91% 61% 24% 4% - -
19 LAI Nico 100% 100% 92% 66% 29% 6% -
20 JIO Lucas 100% 93% 63% 20% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.