Star Trophy @ Bay Area Fencing Club

Y-12 Mixed Foil

Sunday, March 22, 2026 at 3:30 PM

BAY AREA FENCING CLUB - Pleasanton, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 SITU Baiqin 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 70%
2 LIN Zhengxuan 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 16%
3 LAI Olivia 100% 100% 95% 68% 24%
3 VIEN Bradley 100% 100% 98% 84% 45% 6%
5 GU Alexandra 100% 99% 90% 57% 15%
6 ZHAI Muyan 100% 99% 92% 66% 23%
7 WANG Theodore 100% 100% 97% 77% 31% 1%
8 BHOOMI Abhiram 100% 99% 88% 48%
9 NILANGEKAR Nikita 100% 89% 39% 6%
10 STOCK Ian 100% 62% 17% 2%
12 CHEN Celina 100% 96% 73% 34% 7% -
13 XIE Garrett 100% 100% 91% 55% 16% 2%
14 WONG Kingston 100% 64% 21% 3% -
15 GAO Nicole 100% 97% 72% 31% 6%
16 CHEN Runhe 100% 100% 98% 84% 46% 11%
17 RAI Ariv 100% 94% 68% 28% 4%
18 HOOKS Owen 100% 97% 76% 38% 8%
19 HE Andrew 100% 66% 20% 3% -
21 SAXENA Niven 100% 93% 65% 27% 5% -
22 STOCK Nina 100% 84% 45% 13% 2% -
23 MANUBOLU Maanvi 100% 89% 52% 14% 1% -
24 KIM Owen 100% 58% 17% 2% - -
25 RANDHAWA Swaraj 100% 96% 74% 35% 7%
26 GEMBALA Theodore 100% 90% 51% 10%
27 JIJO Jayln 100% 90% 53% 12% 1% -
28 WONG Elliot 100% 89% 54% 18% 2%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.