SITS Junior 3 Weapon Open

Junior Mixed Épée

Sunday, March 22, 2026 at 9:00 AM

Sword in the Scroll Fencing Academy - Willimantic, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 LECUYER-SCHOONMAKER Declan - - 4% 24% 52% 19%
2 BRASSARD Calvin - - 3% 17% 41% 38%
3 LI Ray - 1% 7% 33% 47% 12%
3 CHEN Allen - - 1% 8% 39% 52%
5 SPRINGER Elijah 1% 7% 25% 38% 25% 5%
6 LI Fei - 1% 8% 32% 43% 15%
7 WHITE Aidan - 5% 22% 40% 29% 4%
8 SKLAR Davida - 2% 15% 36% 36% 11%
9 BURDICK Elijah 6% 25% 37% 25% 7% 1%
10 COVINO Mila 6% 36% 41% 16% 2% -
11 LAW Oliver - 6% 26% 42% 23% 2%
12 BEEVER Logan 6% 30% 42% 20% 3% -
13 BUMPUS Isaias 12% 34% 35% 16% 3% -
14 ASHLEY Logan 2% 12% 31% 36% 17% 3%
15 LAKSHMAN Vishnu 3% 20% 41% 30% 7% -
16 WILLIAMSON Aria 15% 42% 32% 10% 1% -
17 DARVAS Jordan 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1%
18 WATERMAN Colton 2% 23% 43% 27% 5% -
19 MELMED Oliver 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2%
20 HILLEGEIST Ash 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
21 PANAS Mason 18% 38% 31% 11% 2% -
22 LIU George 12% 34% 35% 16% 3% -
23 ACHILOV Murod 7% 26% 37% 23% 6% 1%
24 MARASINI Bibhuti 55% 37% 8% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.