Portland ROC

Div II Men's Foil

Sunday, March 22, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Northwest Fencing Center - Tigard, OR, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SEIGEL Duncan 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19%
2 MIRON Ioachim 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
3 OH Christopher 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 10%
3 HARRIS Julien 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 22%
5 LEONG Wilson Hua 100% 100% 94% 74% 39% 12% 1%
6 BEDWORTH Alistair 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 43%
7 HO Christopher 100% 100% 96% 75% 33% 5%
8 BHUPATHIRAJU Arjun 100% 100% 99% 88% 53% 12%
9 CRAIG Whitman 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 9%
10 SU Desmond 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 17% 2%
11 CHANG Austin 100% 90% 59% 24% 6% 1% -
12 RYU GREYSON 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2%
13 PAINTER Zachary 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 9% 1%
14 WEI-NAVARRO Augustus 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 5%
15 ZHANG Raphael 100% 98% 88% 62% 29% 8% 1%
16 SU Preston 100% 99% 89% 61% 27% 6% 1%
17 KUANG Vincent 100% 87% 52% 19% 4% -
18 FECAROTTA Ryan 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 11% 1%
19 CAO Sean 100% 97% 75% 33% 6% -
20 SKYWARK Andrew 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 37% 8%
21 LEE Christopher 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 17% 3%
22 ZHANG Andrew 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 3%
23 BECKER Ethan 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
24 CHOI Elliot 100% 76% 37% 11% 2% - -
25 USTIN nick 100% 97% 83% 52% 21% 5% -
26 QIU Yiran 100% 89% 46% 11% 1% -
27 WILCOX Stephen 100% 89% 57% 22% 4% -
28 HOLCOMB Alexander 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 10% 1%
29 SUNDSTROM Wren 100% 97% 77% 41% 13% 2% -
30 SERBAN Joseph T. 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 10%
31 DEISHER Wesley 100% 41% 8% 1% - - -
32 MARSH Wyatt 100% 45% 8% 1% - -
33 HOLCOMB Michael 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.