Portland ROC

Div II Men's Saber

Sunday, March 22, 2026 at 12:00 PM

Northwest Fencing Center - Tigard, OR, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FERRIS JR. Michael 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 30% 1%
2 KULKARNI Shreyas 100% 100% 98% 82% 45% 11% -
3 ZHANG Lucas 100% 100% 96% 75% 32% 3%
3 VENKATRAMAN Sudhir 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
5 DESSAUER Tobyn M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 24%
6 LOWE-NILSEN Devon 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 13% 1%
7 SUORSA Markus 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 30%
8 FISH Wade 100% 91% 60% 23% 4% -
9 HONG Arick 100% 99% 89% 60% 25% 5% -
10 LOPER Alex 100% 100% 98% 82% 38% 6%
11 HOLMES Xavier 100% 83% 46% 14% 2% - -
12 HERRERA Tristan K. 100% 95% 73% 37% 11% 2% -
13 RASHELL Simon 100% 100% 96% 75% 33% 3%
14 ST.CLAIRE-KING Tenzin 100% 100% 99% 94% 68% 25%
15 LOPEZ Misael 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 80%
16 VACCA Giovanni 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2% -
17 COPPA Neal 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 6% -
18 RIGGINS Littleton K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 70%
19 LIEBISCH Milo 100% 93% 64% 26% 5% -
20 MA Yanjie 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
21 KIM ZOLLER Jacob 100% 73% 26% 4% - -
22 JONES Tyler 100% 93% 63% 23% 4% -
23 NORVAL Ryan J. 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 2%
24 TEE Benjamin 100% 79% 28% 5% - - -
25 MORRIS Gray 100% 47% 11% 1% - - -
26 PENG Gregory 100% 99% 89% 54% 18% 2% -
27 LEWIS Stephen R. 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 8%
28 KNISER Tim 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 7% -
29 GUVEN Can 100% 95% 74% 39% 11% 1% -
30 MOREHOUSE Brandon 100% 76% 33% 7% 1% -
31 POULSEN Emmitt 100% 82% 41% 10% 1% -
32 GIBSON Zel 100% 53% 12% 1% - - -
33 BARRETT Kevin 100% 96% 68% 30% 7% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.