Portland ROC

Div II Women's Foil

Sunday, March 22, 2026 at 1:30 PM

Northwest Fencing Center - Tigard, OR, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
1 SCHULTZ Sumi - - 1% 7% 21% 32% 27% 11% 2%
2 HONG ELSIE - 1% 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
3 WU Elynna - - 1% 8% 24% 33% 23% 8% 1%
3 SHIN Jaelynn - - 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 8% 1%
5 LIPPAI Sarah - - - 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 10%
6 LIU Sylvia 17% 45% 29% 8% 1% - - - -
7 SPEER Mila J. - - - 1% 5% 18% 36% 31% 10%
8 ESPERUM Ari 33% 45% 19% 3% - - - - -
9 ST GERMAIN Paris 4% 23% 39% 25% 7% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.