Portland ROC

Div II Women's Saber

Sunday, March 22, 2026 at 3:00 PM

Northwest Fencing Center - Tigard, OR, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LEMMEN Jasmijn 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 3%
2 LI Meredith 100% 96% 79% 46% 17% 3% -
3 FEENER Paige 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
3 TANG Wing Ka Ariana 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 72%
5 YANG Caroline 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 32% 7%
6 LI Miranda 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 15% 1%
7 ERPELDING Emily 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 4% -
8 WONG Lucia 100% 88% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
9 CARLUCCI Laura A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 21%
10 SUNIDJA Indira 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
11 ALSHAARAWI Sofia 100% 80% 41% 13% 2% - -
12 KNULL Emma 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 12% 1%
13 WILLEMSE Jamie 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 48%
14 RAMAN Indira 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 10% 1%
15 JI Xinya 100% 94% 69% 34% 9% 1% -
16 BARCZAY Sara E. 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 10% 1%
17 KAZA Aditi 100% 85% 50% 17% 3% - -
18 KAZA Ananya 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 13% 1%
19 SOUTHERLAND Nina 100% 88% 55% 22% 5% 1% -
20 DEVASIA Nisha 100% 98% 88% 59% 25% 5% -
21 MASLEN Cheryl L. 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.