Event Preview
January NACMonday, January 10, 2022 at 8:00 AM
| Finish Range | Average | Range |
|---|---|---|
| 1 - 4 | 4712 | 4734 - 4678 |
| 5 - 8 | 4404 | 4502 - 4305 |
| 9 - 16 | 4086 | 4273 - 3997 |
| 17 - 32 | 3846 | 4165 - 3686 |
| 33 - 64 | 3570 | 3942 - 3401 |
| 65 - 128 | 3164 | 3724 - 2772 |
| 129 - 160 | 2590 | 3164 - 1911 |
Rank is based on the conservative estimate, `mu - 3*sigma`, rather than raw strength alone. Newer or less-certain fencers can still appear lower than someone with a similar average but tighter confidence.