Olympia D'Artagnan's Challenge 4A (Y8/Y12 Epee)

Unrated Y-12 Men's Épée

Sunday, March 22, 2026 at 2:00 PM

Olympia Fencing Center - Cambridge, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 VU Trung 100% 98% 86% 54% 16% -
2 MARTELLI Rafael 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 57% 6%
3 AGARWAL Avirat 100% 93% 62% 20% 2% - < 1%
3 HAROON Alesar 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 25% 2%
5 EICHELBERGER Luke 100% 97% 81% 44% 11% -
6 GENCER Alp 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 5%
7 CHATTERJEE Josh 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 1%
8 BARBIER Benjamin 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 12%
9 YOO Elijah 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1%
10 VU Kien 100% 73% 30% 5% - - -
11 SAHNI Ravi 100% 92% 63% 25% 5% - -
12 ENESCU Alex 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 3%
13 AMLOT Noah 100% 91% 63% 27% 6% 1%
14 WYON Zephyr 100% 74% 31% 6% - -
15 PEI Huanzhi 100% 100% 97% 77% 38% 8%
16 AGARWAL Dev 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 38% 6%
17 STAVE Ellis 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 14% 2%
18 BOUQUOT Armand 100% 100% 95% 69% 29% 5%
19 WASHINGTON Myles 100% 100% 96% 73% 34% 7%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.