Event Preview
January NACSaturday, January 8, 2022 at 12:00 PM
| Finish Range | Average | Range |
|---|---|---|
| 1 - 4 | 4306 | 4362 - 4206 |
| 5 - 8 | 4080 | 4146 - 4028 |
| 9 - 16 | 3961 | 4037 - 3862 |
| 17 - 32 | 3730 | 3957 - 3563 |
| 33 - 64 | 3372 | 3938 - 3161 |
| 65 - 128 | 3006 | 3593 - 2616 |
| 129 - 147 | 2644 | 2958 - 2259 |
Rank is based on the conservative estimate, `mu - 3*sigma`, rather than raw strength alone. Newer or less-certain fencers can still appear lower than someone with a similar average but tighter confidence.