Friday Night Fights

Unrated Mixed Foil

Friday, March 27, 2026 at 5:30 PM

Richmond Fencing Club - Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4
1 HOWARD Basey 100% 100% 98% 82% 34%
2 CROUCH Lochlan 100% 79% 29% 4%
3 MAYBERRY Kate 100% 90% 58% 22% 3%
5 DILLENBACK Isaiah 100% 74% 28% 4% -
6 HOWARD Rory 100% 100% 93% 57%
7 SCHEFFT Owen 100% 94% 60% 4%
8 CONWAY August 100% 62% 17% 2%
9 RAWLS Henry 100% 94% 28% 3% -
10 CHOE Samuel 100% 80% 20% 1% -
11 SMITH Oliver 100% 100% 95% 67% 22%
12 SCHARTZ James 100% 97% 77% 35% 6%
13 MASTROPAS-BROWN Luka 100% 80% 29% 4% -
14 OBERSTEIN-GORDON Judah 100% 99% 85% 48% 12%
15 WITTE Sailor 100% 93% 50% 12% 1%
16 MASTROPAS-BROWN Danil 100% 98% 83% 47% 12%
17 COVERT Michael 100% 99% 88% 56% 16%
18 THOMAS Taylor 100% 98% 58% 17% 2%
19 FARBER Jon 100% 97% 75% 33% 6%
20 VIVERITO Charlie 100% 100% 94% 68% 24%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.