Absolute Clash SYC/RJCC

Y-12 Women's Foil

Friday, March 27, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Atlantic City Convention Center - Atlantic City, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	ZHENG Annalyn	-	-	2%	16%	43%	38%
2	CHAN Jolene	-	-	1%	11%	40%	47%
3	ZHANG Priscilla	-	3%	17%	40%	37%	3%
5	ZHANG Vivian	-	-	-	1%	14%	86%
6	ENRIQUEZ Bianca Perla	-	-	1%	13%	43%	42%
7	XING Melly	-	-	-	1%	9%	39%	51%
8	HUANG Gabrielle	4%	21%	39%	29%	7%	-
9	SON Ayoung	-	-	1%	10%	38%	50%
10	BYK Karalina	-	-	1%	10%	38%	51%
11	HAFEZ Sahar	-	2%	17%	39%	33%	9%
12	KOESTERS Cecilie	-	3%	15%	35%	34%	12%	1%
13	KHETPAL Aalia	-	5%	21%	39%	30%	6%
14	REILLY Carys	1%	11%	32%	37%	16%	2%
15	WANG Allyson	5%	23%	40%	27%	6%	-
16	ZHANG Selina	-	1%	10%	32%	42%	15%
17	MA Sophia	-	2%	13%	36%	38%	10%
18	REN Luna Siyi	5%	24%	38%	25%	7%	1%	-
19	JU Victoria	2%	15%	40%	32%	10%	1%
20	LIU Bella	3%	17%	38%	32%	10%	1%
21	LU Sophia	7%	28%	39%	21%	5%	-
22	FAROOQI Eliora	2%	16%	36%	33%	12%	1%
23	DONG Audrey	1%	9%	30%	40%	19%	3%
24	LIN Yuxi	-	2%	12%	35%	38%	13%
25	KIM Lael	-	6%	24%	39%	24%	5%	-
26	SHAOOLIAN Alexa	-	2%	14%	42%	35%	8%
27	ZHU Alivia	-	1%	6%	25%	43%	25%
28	MCCLAIN Madison	4%	22%	38%	28%	8%	1%
29	JAZWINSKI Ivy	2%	13%	34%	36%	15%	2%
30	ZHU Alicia	44%	41%	13%	2%	-	-
31	JIN Emily	23%	42%	27%	7%	1%	-
32	HUANG Jiayu	3%	22%	40%	27%	7%	-
33	MILLER Anna	-	1%	9%	35%	42%	13%
34	LEE Annabel	4%	26%	45%	21%	3%	-
35	ZELDIN Nina	24%	42%	26%	7%	1%	-
36	WANG Joann	-	-	1%	9%	32%	44%	14%
37	CHEN Sophie	13%	37%	34%	14%	2%	-
38	SUN YOUXI	37%	44%	16%	2%	-	-
39	MORONES Alieza	38%	42%	17%	3%	-	-
40	HOLSTAD Anneliese	6%	27%	39%	23%	5%	-
41	CHEN Arianna	13%	37%	35%	14%	2%	-
42	RUPARELIYA Alisha	9%	35%	37%	15%	2%	-
43	PATEL Tiana	28%	44%	23%	5%	-	-	-
44	JAIN Adab	37%	45%	16%	2%	-	-
45	MCCLAIN Grayce	13%	37%	35%	13%	2%	-
46	FRIEDMAN Mayvin	< 1%	4%	19%	37%	31%	7%
47	CHAN Jaclyn	22%	47%	25%	6%	1%	-
48	SUI Jessie	25%	43%	25%	6%	1%	-
49	JIANG Arwen	25%	49%	23%	3%	-	-
50	ZHONG Meghan	14%	39%	34%	11%	2%	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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